Not logged in
PANGAEA.
Data Publisher for Earth & Environmental Science

Morón, Daniel; Vela-Martín, Alberto; Avila, Marc (2025): Predictability assessment of turbulence decay events with massive ensembles of simulations [dataset]. PANGAEA, https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.977819 (DOI registration in progress)

Always quote citation above when using data! You can download the citation in several formats below.

Published: 2025-03-06

RIS CitationBibTeX Citation Copy Citation Share

Abstract:
Linearly stable shear flows first transition to turbulence in the form of localized turbulent patches. At low Reynolds numbers these turbulent patches tend to suddenly decay, following a memory less process. There is no satisfactory explanation as to why turbulence decays in these flows, nor how far in advance decay can be forecasted. Using massive ensembles of simulations of pipe flow and a reduced order model of shear flows we monitor how predictable different initial conditions are to decay events. In this database we include the GPU-codes we use to perform the massive ensembles of direct numerical simulations of pipe and a reduced order model of shear flows. Additionally the database includes time series of the predictability and main variables of many base flow trajectories, and classifications between predictable and unpredictable states. We also include a simple but still accurate model of reduced order model decays.
Keyword(s):
direct numerical simulations; predictability; transient chaos; transitional regime
Parameter(s):
#NameShort NameUnitPrincipal InvestigatorMethod/DeviceComment
Binary ObjectBinaryMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
FigureFigMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
TitleTitleMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
File nameFile nameMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
Binary Object (File Size)Binary (Size)BytesMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
VariableVariableMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
File formatFile formatMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
DescriptionDescriptionMorón, DanielNumerical simulated
Size:
96 data points

Data

Download dataset as tab-delimited text — use the following character encoding:

All files referred to in data matrix can be downloaded in one go as ZIP or TAR. Be careful: This download can be very large! To protect our systems from misuse, we require to sign up for an user account before downloading.


Binary

Fig

Title

File name
 
Binary (Size) [Bytes]

Variable

File format

Description
CODE1_nsPipe_CUDA.zipCode for the direct numerical simulation (DNS) of the Navier-Stokes equations NSECODE1_nsPipe_CUDA.zip33 kBytesSources of the Fourier pseudospectral DNS code solving the NSE in a rigid pipe. See github.com for more information about the methods. This version integrates the ensembles of simulations used to characterize the predictability to decay events. It integrates a turbulent puff until it detects a decay event. It saves the instantaneous states of the puff at different times before decay and launches ensembles of simulations using as initial condition these puffs.
CODE2_MFE_CUDA.zipCode for the massive ensemble of simulations of the MFE modelCODE2_MFE_CUDA.zip29.4 kBytesSources of the CUDA code used to integrate the MFE model in time. It integrates the model using a low-storage Runge Kutta method of 4th order. This version integrates the ensembles of simulations used to characterize the decay events. It first integrates a huge number of base cases that have a decay event at a given time. It saves states at different times before decay and uses these states as initial conditions for massive ensembles of simulations of the model.
CODE3_DECAY_PREDICTOR.zipCode to predict decay events of the MFE model using predictabilityCODE3_DECAY_PREDICTOR.zip5.4 kBytesSources of the MATLAB code that, integrates a reduced order MFE model trajectory, and computes the probability to decay as the indicator Ind as the trajectory evolves. Ind is equal to 1 when the predictor predicts inminent decay and smaller otherwise.
Fig1.zip1Description of transitional puffs and the MFE modelFig1.zip8.6 MBytesTime series of puffs and model variables, and life-time statisticsmat, txt and .m files"It includes the time series of the cross-section averaged kinetic energy Q, and the model variables; and the lifetime statistics of both systems. Has the MATLAB function to generate Fig1 of the paper."
Fig2.zip2Description of the method to characterize predictability: Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD)Fig2.zip2.8 MBytesTime series of puff variables, life-time statistics and metric of predictability.mat, txt and .m filesExample of a puff trajectory before decay, as denoted by the time-dependent volume-averaged cross section kinetic energy. It includes the conditioned life-time statistics of massive ensembles of puffs initialized close to a given known state. It also includes the metric to measure predictability (before normalizing it). Find inside the MATLAB functions required to produce Figure 2 in the paper.
Fig3.zip3Trajectory averaged Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) as a measure of puff and MFE decay predictabilityFig3.zip23.5 MBytesKLD of puff and MFE decaymat, txt and .m filesKullback-Leibler divergence as a measure of predictability for puffs and MFE model. It is computed as the difference between the conditional probability of different puff/MFE states compared with the exponential expected value. It includes MATLAB functions to generate Fig 4 of the paper.
Fig4.zip4Statistics of the KLD, defect of mean profile and cross-flow fluctuations in the MFE modelFig4.zip389.5 kBytesKLD, E1 and Ej (as the streamwise and cross-flow fluctuations) in the MFE modelmat, txt and .m filesStatistics of the time evolution of the KLD, E1 (as the defect of the energy of the mean profile) and Ej (as the energy of the cross-flows) of the MFE model, depending on whether trajectories are considered as predictable or unpredictable. Includes MATLAB functions to generate Figure 4 in the paper.
Fig5.zip5Regions of phase space according to predictability of MFE decayFig5.zip112 kBytesKLD, E1 and Ej (as the streamwise and cross-flow fluctuations) in the MFE modelmat, txt and .m filesColormaps of the projected phase space of the MFE model in the two variables E1 and Ej. The color corresponds to statistics of predictability in equispaced bins of the projected phase space. Includes MATLAB functions to generate figure 5 of the paper.
Fig6.zip6Assessment of the MFE decay predictor.Fig6.zip19.8 MBytesKLD, E1 and Ej (as the streamwise and cross-flow fluctuations) in the MFE modelmat, txt and .m filesTime series of the MFE decay predictor ability, in the case of a extremely rare MFE trajectory. It includes MATLAB functions to generate Figure 6 of the paper.
Fig7.zip7Statistics of the KLD, defect of center-line velocity and cross-flow fluctuations in puffsFig7.zip379.5 kBytesKLD, Q as the cross flow energy and Uc as the defect of centerline velocity in puffsmat, txt and .m filesStatistics of the time evolution of the KLD, Uc (as the defect of centerline velocity) and Q (as the energy of the cross-flows) of puffs, depending on whether trajectories are considered as predictable or unpredictable. Includes MATLAB functions to generate Figure 7 in the paper.
Fig8.zip8Regions of phase space according to predictability of puff decayFig8.zip56.5 kBytesKLD, Q as the cross flow energy and Uc as the defect of centerline velocity in puffsmat, txt and .m filesColormaps of the projected phase space of the puffs in the two variables Q and Uc. The color corresponds to statistics of predictability in equispaced bins of the projected phase space. Includes MATLAB functions to generate figure 8 of the paper.
Fig9.zip9Assessment of the robustness of computation of the metric of predictabilityFig9.zip7.1 MBytesKLD of puff and MFE decaymat, txt and .m filesStatistics of puff and MFE KLD depending on the shape of the initial perturbations used in the ensembles and the number of members per ensemble. Includes MATLAB functions to create figure 9 of the paper.
Fig10.zip10Assessment of the effect of the uncertainty on the metric of predictabilityFig10.zip204 MBytesKLD of MFE decaymat, txt and .m filesTrajectory averaged KLD of MFE decay events, computed using different magnitudes of uncertainty (epsilon 0). It includes MATLAB functions to generate figure 10 of the paper.
Fig11.zip11Predictability of MFE extreme eventsFig11.zip31 MBytesKLD of MFE extreme eventsmat, txt and .m filesDescription and assessment of the predictability of a different but also extreme event of the MFE model. Includes the MATLAB functions to generate figure 11
Fig12.zip12Assessment of the MFE decay predictor.Fig12.zip181.9 kBytesKLD, E1 and Ej (as the streamwise and cross-flow fluctuations) in the MFE modelmat, txt and .m filesTime series of the MFE decay predictor ability, in the case of a decaying MFE trajectory. It includes MATLAB functions to generate Figure 6 of the paper.