Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Wu Zhigang Okamoto Katsuo Han Xinru 0000-0002-1673-7803 Ma Guoying Chien Hsiaoping Zhao Jing 2013 Model results of the impact of climate change on agriculture in China dataset https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.807701 2013-02-20T16:48:01 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Wu Zhigang Okamoto Katsuo Han Xinru 0000-0002-1673-7803 Ma Guoying Chien Hsiaoping Zhao Jing 2013 The impacts of climate change on crops in China: A Ricardian analysis journal article Global and Planetary Change 104 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.01.005 61-74 This paper assesses the impact of climate change on China's agricultural production at a cross-provincial level using the Ricardian approach, incorporating a multilevel model with farm-level group data. The farm-level group data includes 13379 farm households, across 316 villages, distributed in 31 provinces. The empirical results show that, firstly, the marginal effects and elasticities of net crop revenue per hectare with respect to climate factors indicated that the annual impact of temperature on net crop revenue per hectare was positive, and the effect of increased precipitation was negative when looking at the national totals; secondly, the total impact of simulated climate change scenarios on net crop revenues per hectare at a Chinese national total level, was an increase of between 79 USD per hectare and 207 USD per hectare for the 2050s, and an increase from 140 USD per hectare to 355 USD per hectare for the 2080s. As a result, climate change may create a potential advantage for the development of Chinese agriculture, rather than a risk, especially for agriculture in the provinces of the Northeast, Northwest and North regions. However, the increased precipitation can lead to a loss of net crop revenue per hectare, especially for the provinces of the Southwest, Northwest, North and Northeast regions. uncoded table 401370 CC-BY-3.0 Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ The farm-level group data includes 13379 farm households, across 316 villages, distributed in 31 provinces in China. Identification ID Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn ID Number of years Years a number Time T http://dbpedia.org/resource/Time Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Average education years of farm household Years [a] (Average education years of fa...) Population density Pop dens #/km**2 population density https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_density Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Pop dens [#/km**2] Distance Distance km distance http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/PATO_0000040 Length L http://dbpedia.org/resource/Length Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Radial distance from village to the provincial capital Distance [km] (Radial distance from village ...) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 1: ferrallitic Soil type (1: ferrallitic) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 2: alfisol Soil type (2: alfisol) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 3: semi-luvisols Soil type (3: semi-luvisols) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 4: pedocal Soil type (4: pedocal) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 5: xerosol Soil type (5: xerosol) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 6: desert Soil type (6: desert) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 7: primitive Soil type (7: primitive) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 8: semi-hydromorphic Soil type (8: semi-hydromorphic) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 9: hydromorphic Soil type (9: hydromorphic) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 10: alkaline saline Soil type (10: alkaline saline) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 11: anthropic Soil type (11: anthropic) Soil type Soil type https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soil_classification soil http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00001998 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn 12: alpine Soil type (12: alpine) Code Code Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn scode Code (scode) Temperature, spring T spr °C Temperature Θ http://dbpedia.org/resource/Temperature spring http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00000027 Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn T spr [°C] Temperature, summer T sum °C Temperature Θ http://dbpedia.org/resource/Temperature summer Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn T sum [°C] Temperature, autumn T aut °C Temperature Θ http://dbpedia.org/resource/Temperature autumn Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn T aut [°C] Temperature, winter T win °C Temperature Θ http://dbpedia.org/resource/Temperature Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn T win [°C] Precipitation, spring Precip spr mm/month spring http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/ENVO_00000027 Linear Velocity http://dbpedia.org/resource/Velocity Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Precip spr [mm/month] Precipitation, summer Precip summer mm/month summer Linear Velocity http://dbpedia.org/resource/Velocity Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Precip summer [mm/month] Precipitation, autumn Precip aut mm/month autumn Linear Velocity http://dbpedia.org/resource/Velocity Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Precip aut [mm/month] Precipitation, winter Precip wint mm/month Linear Velocity http://dbpedia.org/resource/Velocity Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Precip wint [mm/month] Index Index index Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Multiple crop Index (Multiple crop) Ratio Ratio ratio Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn of irrigated areas to total cultivated areas of farm household Ratio (of irrigated areas to total c...) Exchange rate Exch rate Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Chinese Renminbi against the 2009 USD was 6.831 Yuan per USD (i.e., period average) from China Statistical Yearbook 2010 Exch rate (Chinese Renminbi against the ...) Net crop revenue per unit area Crop niusd USD/ha/a Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Crop niusd [USD/ha/a] Latitude, median Latitude med Chen Yongfu chenyf@cau.edu.cn Latitude med supplement citable author45599 author45600 author45601 author45602 author45603 author45604 author45605 journal6174 license101 param102820 param115947 param119176 param119180 param123197 param123198 param123199 param123200 param123201 param123202 param123203 param123204 param123205 param123206 param21267 param21453 param50007 param50534 param7056 pi45599 ref39350 term1073581 term1073628 term2663481 term2663825 term38526 term42068 term42071 term43702 term43863 term43876 term43972 term43975 term44253 topotype11